Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures report 2024

The Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures (TCFD) was set up by the government to encourage businesses like ours to report on the financial risks and opportunities from climate change for your pension savings.

Tackling climate change is one of our sustainability priorities, and so we’re very happy to share our plans and progress to date with you.

This year’s report covers the progress we’ve made towards our commitment to reach net zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050, with an interim target of a 50% reduction by 2030 based on 2019 levels. The report also covers the key changes we’ve made to how your pension savings are invested, to help improve the action we’re taking on climate change.

You can read our full report, or read on for a summary.

What is climate change?

Climate change is caused by human activity emitting greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide, which trap the sun’s heat in the atmosphere. The amount we’re emitting is beyond nature’s ability to absorb, leading to global warming.

The result is more frequent and severe weather events, such as hurricanes, droughts, fires, and flooding, and chronic effects like extreme heat, severe rainfall and sea level rises.

Current global average temperatures are about 1.1°C above the preindustrial era. As average temperatures continue to rise, weather will only get worse until we bring emissions down to net zero – the point at which our emissions can be safely absorbed by nature and will no longer contribute to further global warming.

How does climate change affect my investments?

Before we can assess the potential impact of climate change to your pension savings, we need to understand what the temperature rise could be. Our ideal climate outcome is to limit the rise in average global temperatures to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels, in line with the Paris Agreement (this is the lowest temperature rise that science tells us is realistically possible if we rapidly reduce emissions).

At the same time, we also need to plan for what happens if average global temperatures exceed 1.5°C. To do this, we need to look at three different warming scenarios to understand what climate change might mean for your pension savings.

Our new scenario analysis detailed in the report shows that, in a 3°C or higher warming scenario, the economic consequences are likely to be dire. This means that investments are likely to perform poorly. A 1.5°C or 2°C scenario is likely to be much more favourable to the investment portfolio and therefore, your pension savings.

What we’re doing to address climate change

We believe it’s in our members’ best long-term financial interests to do what we can to limit the rise of global temperatures to as close to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels as possible.

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We take four key actions to help do this:

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How our strategy has changed in 2024

We’ve made some big changes which helps us take climate action on your pension savings.

We have more than doubled our directly held equity investments (investment in company shares) to 65%, which are now all managed by our in-house investment manager. Having an in-house fund manager means that the Trustee, on your behalf, has more direct influence over these companies, and can engage with them to reduce their greenhouse gas emissions.

Find out more about our new investment strategy

New approach to scenario analysis

We also adopted a new approach to climate scenario analysis, that we believe makes climate risks easier to understand. For each of the warming scenarios (1.5°C, 2°C, and 3°C), we consider what climate change might mean for different types of risk.

Previously we looked at two types of risk: transition risks (risks to a company because of changing climate policies or technology) and physical risks (risks associated with more severe weather). We now feel it’s more realistic to add a third category: systemic risks.

Systemic risks are risks that impact the entire economic system and therefore have a significant long-term effect. For example, the impact of governmental climate policies on economy-wide investment and growth, or the impact of climate change on inflation through food and commodity prices. These are new risks we have monitored this year, and the results show that the consequences of a 3°C or higher warming world is likely to be very bad for any investment portfolio.

More information on the impact of risk across different time periods in different warming scenarios is set out in the full report.

Our progress this year

Because of our new investment strategy, 100% of our physical global equity company holdings and over 75% of total holdings now directly link to the Trustee’s responsible investment objectives, which includes climate action. This is good progress.

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Science-Based Targets initiative

To effectively limit global warming, we prefer to stay invested and engage with those ‘high emitters’ of today, whom we believe can develop credible plans to achieve net zero by 2050. Our new strategy has increased the level of investments that have targets in place reviewed by the Science-Based Targets initiative (SBTi).

SBTi is an important measure for us, because it tracks which companies have made credible commitments to reduce their emissions in the future, even if they have high emissions today.

Under the new investment strategy, over 43% of the global equity company investments and over 30% of the total assets now have SBTi approved targets. We hope to see this continuing to improve over the years to come.

Carbon footprint of our portfolio

A portfolio’s carbon footprint is another important metric we track. We’re pleased to report the good progress made on this metric due to our new investment strategy.

  • For scope 1 and 2 – our direct emissions and those associated with energy use – our carbon footprint in 2024 was 52.0 tons of greenhouse gas per £1 million invested, down from 63.1 tons in 2023.
  • For scope 3 emissions – emissions of our suppliers and customers – 390.8 tons per £1 million invested were recorded in 2024, down from 524.3 tons in 2023.

Consequently, now:pensions’ investments are now less carbon intensive.

Progress to net zero

In terms of progress to net zero, we’re on track to achieve net zero by 2050 and a 50% reduction by 2030 based on 2019 levels. We’d like to see the world decarbonise even more quickly than this, but the reality is that global greenhouse gas emissions have yet to peak, let alone decrease in-line with the pathway we’ve set out. So, we’ll keep reviewing these targets and our progress.

Read the full report for all the metrics we track.

How we oversee our plans

Our climate change-related risks and opportunities policy and our stewardship policy set out how we manage these risks and how we engage with the companies we work with. Our full report describes our governance approach in more detail.

How we engage with our members

It’s important we engage members in discussions around climate change and other key sustainability issues. In Q1 2023, we partnered with an external research company to hold focus groups with our members to get their views on their pension and responsible investment. The findings from these focus groups have since helped shape our investment strategy and reporting.

Read the full 2024 TCFD report

Download report